Wall Street hikes forecasts for anti-obesity drug sales to $100 billion and beyond — A look at the numbers
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Most analysts predict the market for new weight loss drugs like Wegovy and Mounjaro will be enormous, but estimates vary for its exact size depending on who you ask. On Monday, Citi raised its estimate for incretin drug sales to $71 billion by 2035, up from its prior estimate of $55 billion. That viewpoint seems really conservative when placed side by side with predictions like Guggenheim's. Last month, the firm made a case for there being a $150 billion to $200 billion opportunity for these drugs. Guggenheim analyst Seamus Fernandez's conviction comes from his belief that GLP-1-based incretins will become the most prescribed drugs ever by or before 2031. Not only do these drugs work well for managing insulin levels and helping patients lose weight, studies are underway to show their benefits for cardiovascular health, sleep apnea and chronic kidney disease to name a few. Fernandez expects $50 billion in GLP-1 sales will come from patients with diabetes as increti